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Red205
478662.4
173279.2
638136.7
Blue198
791550.5
319768.4
219445.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195170100150250300205198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points51
51Total auto57
TeleoperatedRed +19
29Coral scored#20
106Coral points71
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
18Processor points18
16Net points32
34Algae points50
140Total teleop121
Reef
18L4#13
7L3#9
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
205Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.7
78.378.9
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
red by 10.8
68.40.7
67.067.7
Auto15.3
Teleop46.8
End6.3
Second
62.40.7
61.562.1
Auto17.3
Teleop43.4
End1.7
red by 11.8
7915
#18
50.50.7
49.149.8
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
Third
6381
#31
36.70.7
35.836.4
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End6.1
blue by 8.9
2194
#21
45.50.7
44.144.8
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5