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Qual 112025 TWIST
Red79
1739-4.4
870123.3
657431.0
Blue56
51255.8
178118.9
283034.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52660204060801001207956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
52Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
79Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.8
30.932.7
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End7.1
blue by 3.8
2830
#23
34.80.6
38.037.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Second
8701
#15
23.31.8
26.328.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End0.8
red by 4.4
1781
#19
18.90.6
18.317.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Third
1739
#28
-4.41.8
-7.6-5.9
Auto0.3
Teleop-5.3
End0.6
blue by 10.2
5125
#27
5.80.2
5.25.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed