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Qual 122025 TWIST
Red122
359612.6
179232.8
93030.0
Blue47
96696.5
99994.4
122023.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11148010015020012247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+75Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
47Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
50Foul points0
122Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.82.0
38.336.3
Auto6.8
Teleop21.2
End4.7
red by 9.7
23.10.1
23.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Second
930
#16
30.02.0
31.729.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.0
red by 23.4
9669
#22
6.50.1
11.311.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Third
3596
#24
12.62.0
16.814.8
Auto2.0
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 8.1
9999
#26
4.40.2
1.21.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed