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Qual 142025 TWIST
Red58
270422.1
167528.8
125939.3
Blue37
306153.2
631822.1
66439.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116107204060801401601805837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
58Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.33.1
45.442.3
Auto9.7
Teleop23.0
End6.6
blue by 13.8
53.24.3
54.750.4
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End3.9
Second
1675
#17
28.83.1
35.532.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End5.0
red by 6.7
6318
#25
22.14.3
28.123.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Third
2704
#11
22.13.1
23.019.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.7
End0.4
red by 12.7
6643
#30
9.54.3
16.111.8
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed