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Qual 152025 TWIST
Red69
9337.1
638116.8
109113.7
Blue68
582215.7
761912.7
219450.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72770501001502006968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
51Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
69Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#10
37.10.2
37.537.3
Auto6.3
Teleop27.5
End3.3
blue by 13.2
50.30.4
49.449.0
Auto17.5
Teleop32.3
End0.5
Second
6381
#12
16.80.2
20.119.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End3.6
red by 1.1
5822
#13
15.70.4
13.913.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
1091
#18
13.70.2
15.014.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.2
red by 0.9
7619
#20
12.70.4
11.210.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed