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Qual 162025 TWIST
Red21
359612.6
81226.6
173255.1
Blue93
870123.3
283034.8
179232.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011180501502193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points24
21Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.14.6
59.755.0
Auto17.0
Teleop31.0
End7.1
red by 20.3
2830
#23
34.82.4
37.435.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Second
3596
#24
12.64.6
14.810.2
Auto2.0
Teleop10.0
End0.6
blue by 20.2
32.82.4
36.333.9
Auto6.8
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Third
8122
#29
6.64.6
12.78.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
blue by 16.7
8701
#15
23.32.4
28.125.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned