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Qual 192025 TWIST
Red110
219450.3
125939.3
657431.0
Blue46
167528.8
93030.0
478713.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1457905010020025011046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+56Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +28
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
49Total teleop21
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
110Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.9
49.048.1
Auto17.5
Teleop32.3
End0.5
red by 20.3
930
#16
30.02.1
29.727.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Second
39.30.9
42.341.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.0
End6.6
red by 10.5
1675
#17
28.82.1
32.430.3
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
31.00.9
32.731.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End7.1
red by 17.3
4787
#21
13.72.1
15.613.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed