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Qual 202025 TWIST
Red101
122023.1
582215.7
9337.1
Blue45
206218.5
51255.8
270422.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764005010015010145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
66Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points2
101Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#10
37.11.8
37.339.1
Auto6.3
Teleop27.5
End3.3
red by 14.9
2704
#11
22.10.2
19.919.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.7
End0.4
Second
23.11.8
23.325.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 4.6
2062
#14
18.50.2
19.018.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Third
5822
#13
15.71.8
13.515.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 9.9
5125
#27
5.81.4
5.06.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed