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Red87
219450.3
122023.1
206218.5
Blue28
179232.8
66439.5
1739-4.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145401001502002503008728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave3
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
55Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
87Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.1
51.250.1
Auto17.5
Teleop32.3
End0.5
red by 17.5
32.82.5
40.838.3
Auto6.8
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Second
23.11.1
24.623.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 13.6
6643
#30
9.52.5
19.717.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End-0.7
Third
2062
#14
18.51.1
25.124.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
red by 22.9
1739
#28
-4.42.5
-3.3-5.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed