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Red98
51255.8
173255.1
167528.8
Blue44
638116.8
178118.9
359612.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141640501002002503009844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
13Coral scored#4
47Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
65Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
98Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.11.5
65.864.3
Auto17.0
Teleop31.0
End7.1
red by 36.2
1781
#19
18.91.4
20.619.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Second
1675
#17
28.81.5
37.936.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End5.0
red by 12.0
6381
#12
16.81.4
22.721.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Third
5125
#27
5.81.5
8.36.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 6.8
3596
#24
12.61.4
18.917.4
Auto2.0
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed