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Red44
99994.4
761912.7
283034.8
Blue61
478713.7
631822.1
270422.1
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62940501502002504461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points14
10Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
30Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
44Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#23
34.81.4
40.439.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End5.5
red by 12.7
2704
#11
22.11.4
27.926.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.7
End0.4
Second
7619
#20
12.71.4
15.714.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End3.8
blue by 9.4
6318
#25
22.11.4
32.731.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Third
9999
#26
4.42.3
8.36.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.8
blue by 9.3
4787
#21
13.71.4
20.819.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed