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Red206
191869.4
10721.2
276786.3
Blue145
207555.8
1066641.2
362065.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215201100150250300206145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +40
30Coral scored#19
107Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
143Total teleop103
Reef
16L4#9
7L3#7
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
206Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.4
85.986.3
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 20.4
65.90.7
66.665.9
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
Second
69.40.4
69.069.4
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 13.6
2075
#10
55.80.7
56.655.8
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
Third
107
#31
21.20.4
20.821.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
blue by 19.9
41.20.7
41.941.2
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3