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Red213
191869.4
10721.2
276786.3
Blue161
207555.8
1066641.2
362065.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215204100150250300213161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points44
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +42
26Coral scored#21
95Coral points75
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
24Processor points6
24Net points20
48Algae points26
143Total teleop101
Reef
13L4#12
10L3#9
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
213Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.7
85.285.9
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 20.4
65.90.3
66.966.6
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
Second
69.40.7
68.369.0
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 13.6
2075
#10
55.80.3
56.956.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
Third
107
#31
21.20.7
20.120.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
blue by 19.9
41.20.3
42.241.9
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3