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Red174
207555.8
1066641.2
362065.9
Blue117
353847.4
376747.6
345233.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21014950100250300174117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+49Teleop
+63Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +36
26Coral scored#18
93Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
125Total teleop89
Reef
13L4#8
7L3#6
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points6
174Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.2
67.266.9
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
red by 18.3
47.60.8
48.447.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
Second
2075
#10
55.80.2
57.156.9
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
red by 8.5
3538
#23
47.40.8
48.247.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
Third
41.20.2
42.442.2
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3
red by 7.4
3452
#25
33.80.8
34.633.8
Auto3.8
Teleop29.0
End1.0