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Red146
917633.6
400335.7
496738.4
Blue172
353847.4
376747.6
345233.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112142050200250300350146172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave6
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#25
87Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
121Total teleop126
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#12
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
146Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#26
38.40.5
37.938.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
blue by 9.2
47.60.6
47.848.4
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
Second
4003
#12
35.70.5
35.235.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
blue by 11.6
3538
#23
47.40.6
47.548.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
Third
9176
#11
33.60.5
33.133.6
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6
blue by 0.2
3452
#25
33.80.6
34.034.6
Auto3.8
Teleop29.0
End1.0