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Red209
191869.4
10721.2
276786.3
Blue153
207555.8
1066641.2
362065.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215209100150250300209153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points47
40Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +59
26Coral scored#14
93Coral points52
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
24Processor points18
32Net points20
56Algae points38
149Total teleop90
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#7
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +56
4Foul points0
209Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.5
84.785.2
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 20.4
65.90.6
67.867.2
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
Second
69.40.5
67.868.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 13.6
2075
#10
55.80.6
57.757.1
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
Third
107
#31
21.20.5
19.620.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
blue by 19.9
41.20.6
43.042.4
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3