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Red113
335738.1
609036.3
598032.0
Blue128
917633.6
400335.7
496738.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120118406080100140160180113128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
86Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
113Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
38.338.1
Auto11.2
Teleop23.8
End3.0
blue by 0.3
4967
#26
38.40.3
37.637.9
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Second
36.30.2
36.436.3
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End2.3
red by 0.5
4003
#12
35.70.3
34.935.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Third
5980
#15
32.00.2
32.232.0
Auto3.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
blue by 1.6
9176
#11
33.60.3
32.833.1
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6