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Red147
207555.8
917633.6
376747.6
Blue52
295929.4
90415.1
705428.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1849005015020025030014752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+53Teleop
+77Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#1
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
18Foul points0
147Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#10
55.81.4
64.963.5
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
red by 26.4
2959
#29
29.43.0
34.031.0
Auto5.8
Teleop23.9
End-0.3
Second
47.61.4
52.551.1
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
red by 19.1
7054
#30
28.53.0
37.234.2
Auto2.6
Teleop21.0
End4.8
Third
9176
#11
33.61.4
32.631.2
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6
red by 18.5
904
#19
15.13.0
19.716.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed