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Red121
598032.0
496738.4
362065.9
Blue115
277141.8
14133.5
1066641.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17916050100200250300121115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +23
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
88Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
121Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.6
69.467.8
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
red by 24.1
2771
#13
41.81.2
49.648.4
Auto9.8
Teleop26.0
End6.0
Second
4967
#26
38.41.6
41.539.9
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
blue by 2.8
41.21.2
47.246.0
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3
Third
5980
#15
32.01.6
34.432.8
Auto3.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
blue by 1.5
141
#9
33.51.2
36.335.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned