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Red158
716032.9
276786.3
609036.3
Blue90
345822.7
85844.1
8539.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941345010015025030015890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+46Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
18Processor points12
24Net points4
42Algae points16
101Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
158Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.9
84.783.8
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 42.2
858
#16
44.13.1
53.150.0
Auto8.8
Teleop34.8
End0.5
Second
36.30.9
36.935.9
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End2.3
blue by 3.2
85
#27
39.53.1
41.338.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End5.7
Third
32.90.9
36.035.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End7.1
red by 10.1
3458
#20
22.73.1
28.225.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed