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Red60
400335.7
10721.2
277141.8
Blue110
345233.8
191869.4
90415.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191275010015020060110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#16
27Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
31Total teleop73
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
60Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#13
41.83.5
48.444.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.0
End6.0
blue by 27.7
69.40.6
67.366.7
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
Second
4003
#12
35.73.5
38.234.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 1.9
3452
#25
33.80.6
32.131.5
Auto3.8
Teleop29.0
End1.0
Third
107
#31
21.23.5
23.119.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
red by 6.1
904
#19
15.10.6
16.716.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned