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Red36
705428.5
345822.7
910621.0
Blue119
7433.3
353847.4
598032.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8813305010015020025036119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+69
Endgame+69
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#17
19Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
29Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#9
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points14
36Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#30
28.53.3
34.230.9
Auto2.6
Teleop21.0
End4.8
blue by 18.9
3538
#23
47.40.7
48.948.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
Second
3458
#20
22.73.3
26.923.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End1.3
blue by 10.6
74
#7
33.30.7
36.035.3
Auto3.0
Teleop22.3
End8.1
Third
9106
#28
21.03.3
24.120.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
blue by 11.0
5980
#15
32.00.7
31.230.4
Auto3.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsMissed