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Red184
335738.1
276786.3
376747.6
Blue126
362065.9
14133.5
917633.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19713450100150250300184126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points11
48Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +34
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#8
12Processor points6
24Net points32
36Algae points38
114Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#4
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points0
184Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.3
82.482.8
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 20.4
65.90.8
66.465.6
Auto19.3
Teleop38.6
End8.0
Second
47.60.3
48.648.9
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
red by 14.0
9176
#11
33.60.8
30.830.0
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Third
38.10.3
36.036.3
Auto11.2
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 4.6
141
#9Sur
33.50.8
35.935.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned