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Red161
191869.4
1066641.2
861227.0
Blue129
85844.1
207555.8
400335.7
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179177130140150160170190200210161129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
25Coral scored#18
91Coral points63
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
125Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
161Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.8
66.765.9
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 13.6
2075
#10
55.83.1
62.459.3
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
Second
41.20.8
43.142.3
Auto7.9
Teleop30.0
End3.3
blue by 3.0
858
#16
44.13.1
48.345.3
Auto8.8
Teleop34.8
End0.5
Third
8612
#22
27.00.8
30.930.1
Auto3.5
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 8.7
4003
#12
35.73.1
34.831.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned