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Red112
345822.7
207555.8
277141.8
Blue100
240532.4
10721.2
335738.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15685050100200250112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
65Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
112Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#10
55.81.1
59.358.3
Auto12.7
Teleop36.1
End7.1
red by 17.8
38.10.8
36.337.1
Auto11.2
Teleop23.8
End3.0
Second
2771
#13
41.81.1
44.943.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.0
End6.0
red by 9.3
2405
#17
32.40.8
30.531.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Third
3458
#20
22.71.1
23.622.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End1.3
red by 1.5
107
#31
21.20.8
19.620.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed