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Red66
90415.1
716032.9
496738.4
Blue67
609036.3
705428.5
32348.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98840501502006667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
51Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
66Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#26
38.41.8
37.335.5
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 2.1
36.31.3
37.736.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End2.3
Second
32.91.8
33.531.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End7.1
red by 4.4
7054
#30
28.51.3
30.929.7
Auto2.6
Teleop21.0
End4.8
Third
904
#19
15.11.8
16.114.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 6.4
3234
#18
8.71.3
10.08.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned