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Red76
10721.2
353847.4
705428.5
Blue81
14133.5
32348.7
85844.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108970501502007681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
65Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
76Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#23
47.41.7
49.247.5
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
red by 3.2
858
#16
44.10.7
45.344.5
Auto8.8
Teleop34.8
End0.5
Second
7054
#30
28.51.7
29.728.0
Auto2.6
Teleop21.0
End4.8
blue by 5.0
141
#9
33.50.7
35.134.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Third
107
#31
21.21.7
20.318.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
red by 12.5
3234
#18
8.70.7
8.88.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed