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Red78
861227.0
7433.3
485533.5
Blue120
376747.6
277141.8
609036.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514705020025078120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
56Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#8
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
78Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#24
33.52.3
36.534.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End1.9
blue by 14.1
47.61.2
48.947.7
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
Second
74
#7
33.32.3
35.332.9
Auto3.0
Teleop22.3
End8.1
blue by 8.5
2771
#13
41.81.2
43.942.6
Auto9.8
Teleop26.0
End6.0
Third
8612
#22
27.02.3
30.127.8
Auto3.5
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 9.2
36.31.2
36.535.3
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed