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Red65
32348.7
240532.4
353847.4
Blue112
400335.7
7433.3
191869.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9516005020025065112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
52Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
65Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#23
47.42.1
51.048.9
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
blue by 22.1
69.42.4
69.767.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
Second
2405
#17
32.42.1
31.829.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.6
blue by 3.3
4003
#12
35.72.4
40.638.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Third
3234
#18
8.72.1
13.211.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End3.9
blue by 24.6
74
#7
33.32.4
37.635.2
Auto3.0
Teleop22.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned