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Red105
85844.1
598032.0
716032.9
Blue103
496738.4
376747.6
485533.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271490100200300400500105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#19
41Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
73Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
105Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#16
44.11.6
50.048.3
Auto8.8
Teleop34.8
End0.5
blue by 3.4
47.62.5
51.148.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
Second
32.91.6
35.133.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End7.1
blue by 5.5
4967
#26
38.42.5
39.937.3
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Third
5980
#15
32.01.6
32.831.2
Auto3.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
blue by 1.5
4855
#24
33.52.5
39.136.5
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed