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Red212
191869.4
276786.3
10721.2
Blue162
376747.6
353847.4
345233.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20313150100150250300212162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
47Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points80
7Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
42Processor points12
16Net points20
58Algae points32
139Total teleop112
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#12
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
212Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.31.0
83.784.7
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 38.7
47.60.8
47.147.9
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End4.6
Second
69.41.0
66.867.8
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 22.1
3538
#23
47.40.8
46.947.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.8
End0.5
Third
107
#31
21.21.0
18.619.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.1
End-0.4
blue by 12.6
3452
#25
33.80.8
33.334.1
Auto3.8
Teleop29.0
End1.0