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Red87
587613.7
999419.1
699642.8
Blue96
651053.5
999114.9
91468.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71750501001502002508796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
67Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
87Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#13
42.81.0
41.842.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
blue by 10.7
53.51.0
49.850.8
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
Second
9994
#14
19.11.6
8.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
red by 4.3
9991
#18
14.91.7
8.410.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
Third
5876
#21
13.71.0
13.314.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
red by 5.1
9146
#22
8.61.1
12.613.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned