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Red41
958710.4
914723.3
649730.6
Blue26
1055210.8
999524.7
472915.9
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625001001504126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
41Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.1
23.522.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 5.9
24.71.1
8.47.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Second
23.31.1
18.417.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 7.4
4729
#15
15.90.7
14.313.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Third
9587
#26
10.41.2
15.013.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 0.3
10.80.7
13.312.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed