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Red118
997630.1
558456.2
999815.8
Blue34
453726.6
997412.6
712825.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926705015020011834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+82Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +59
15Coral scored#4
54Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
76Total teleop17
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
118Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.22.7
55.558.1
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 29.6
26.62.0
25.423.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Second
30.14.4
8.412.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 4.9
7128
#17
25.22.0
21.919.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Third
9998
#24
15.84.4
8.412.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
red by 3.2
9974
#25
12.63.0
8.45.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned