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Red99
918923.6
477437.1
564817.6
Blue14
999314.7
999214.3
999619.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62230501001509914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +50
9Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
50Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#1
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
24Foul points0
99Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#10
37.11.6
28.630.2
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 17.4
19.71.2
8.47.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Second
9189
#11
23.61.8
11.513.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 8.8
9993
#23
14.71.2
8.47.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Third
5648
#20
17.61.8
10.412.2
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 3.3
9992
#19
14.31.2
8.47.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed