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Red84
918923.6
472915.9
999214.3
Blue70
999314.7
999419.1
999815.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801001201408470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
59Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points8
84Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9189
#11
23.62.5
14.116.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 4.4
9994
#14
19.11.2
11.312.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Second
4729
#15
15.92.5
14.517.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
red by 0.1
9998
#24
15.81.2
17.819.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
9992
#19
14.34.2
8.112.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 0.4
9993
#23
14.71.2
13.414.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned