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Red82
91468.6
649730.6
997630.1
Blue35
1055210.8
999619.7
958710.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001201408235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
44Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
82Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.6
23.525.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 10.9
19.70.6
8.88.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Second
30.12.7
14.217.0
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 19.3
10.80.4
14.213.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Third
9146
#22
8.61.6
13.615.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
blue by 1.8
9587
#26
10.40.4
12.512.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed