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Red99
712825.2
918923.6
998626.9
Blue54
999419.1
999114.9
999214.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884201001502009954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points9
21Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
12Foul points0
99Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.92.8
16.719.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
red by 7.8
9994
#14
19.10.2
18.318.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Second
7128
#17
25.21.7
19.721.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
red by 10.3
9991
#18
14.90.2
16.816.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
Third
9189
#11
23.61.7
17.519.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 9.2
9992
#19
14.30.2
11.911.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned