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Red113
558456.2
999619.7
453726.6
Blue96
91468.6
1000239.0
999524.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11056010015020011396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
60Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points2
113Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.2
60.261.4
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 17.3
39.02.4
27.630.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
Second
26.61.2
29.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 1.9
24.73.9
16.320.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
19.72.0
5.87.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 11.1
9146
#22
8.62.4
14.717.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned