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Red98
699642.8
999314.7
651053.5
Blue54
477437.1
999815.8
1055210.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121650501001502009854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points6
36Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
56Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points2
98Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.51.1
52.651.5
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 16.4
4774
#10
37.10.9
34.033.2
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
6996
#13
42.81.1
43.942.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 27.0
9998
#24
15.81.4
16.715.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
9993
#23
14.71.8
17.615.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
red by 4.0
10.80.9
14.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed