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Red96
651053.5
999214.3
453726.6
Blue40
999314.7
587613.7
472915.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111300501001502009640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
53Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
8Foul points0
96Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.50.3
51.150.8
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 37.6
4729
#15
15.90.4
16.616.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Second
26.60.3
29.929.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 11.9
9993
#23
14.70.7
15.114.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Third
9992
#19
14.30.5
11.811.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
red by 0.6
5876
#21
13.70.4
14.714.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed