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Red115
997630.1
699642.8
477437.1
Blue83
999815.8
1000239.0
564817.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12159010015020011583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
94Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#4
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
115Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#13
42.81.3
43.644.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 3.9
39.01.4
29.531.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
Second
4774
#10
37.11.3
32.734.0
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 19.5
5648
#20
17.61.4
16.718.1
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
30.12.1
19.421.5
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 14.3
9998
#24
15.82.4
15.317.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed