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Red67
999524.7
999114.9
999619.7
Blue30
958710.4
999419.1
997412.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080906730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#3
21Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
29Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points0
67Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
20.220.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
red by 5.6
9994
#14
19.11.9
19.817.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Second
19.70.7
7.78.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 7.1
9974
#25
12.61.9
8.16.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
Third
9991
#18
14.90.7
15.215.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
red by 4.4
9587
#26
10.41.1
13.712.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned