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Red38
587613.7
712825.2
1055210.8
Blue50
914723.3
998626.9
999314.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457901001503850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
38Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#17
25.20.9
22.221.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
blue by 1.7
26.90.7
21.220.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
Second
5876
#21
13.70.9
15.614.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
blue by 9.6
23.30.4
19.619.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Third
10.80.9
13.312.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 4.0
9993
#23
14.70.7
15.815.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed