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Red48
564817.6
999214.3
91468.6
Blue64
472915.9
453726.6
649730.6
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448201001502004864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points0
48Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5648
#20
17.60.0
16.716.7
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 13.0
30.60.7
26.025.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Second
9992
#19
14.30.1
11.711.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 12.3
26.60.7
30.629.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Third
9146
#22
8.60.0
17.017.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
blue by 7.3
4729
#15
15.90.7
17.216.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned