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Red108
1000239.0
477437.1
651053.5
Blue137
558456.2
699642.8
918923.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118130050100150200250300108137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+27
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
83Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points2
108Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.50.4
51.551.1
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
blue by 2.7
56.20.8
61.462.2
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
Second
39.00.4
30.029.5
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
blue by 3.9
6996
#13
42.80.8
42.943.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Third
4774
#10
37.10.4
33.232.7
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 13.6
9189
#11
23.60.8
19.119.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned