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Red82
914723.3
712825.2
997630.1
Blue35
999114.9
587613.7
997412.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72370501001508235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
58Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points0
82Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.3
18.119.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 15.2
9991
#18
14.91.4
16.615.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
Second
7128
#17
25.20.8
21.422.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
red by 11.4
5876
#21
13.70.8
16.415.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
23.30.8
18.819.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 10.8
9974
#25
12.61.4
9.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed