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Red49
998626.9
999815.8
999114.9
Blue92
649730.6
1055210.8
558456.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661100501502004992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points9
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
29Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points26
49Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.5
20.520.0
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
blue by 29.3
56.22.3
62.259.9
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
Second
9998
#24
15.80.5
17.717.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 14.8
30.62.3
25.323.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Third
9991
#18
14.90.5
15.915.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
red by 4.1
10.82.3
12.410.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed