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Red103
999419.1
651053.5
999619.7
Blue69
997412.6
997630.1
999214.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9547015020010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
8Foul points0
103Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.50.2
50.851.0
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 23.5
30.11.8
21.523.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Second
19.70.3
8.48.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 5.4
9992
#19
14.31.6
11.312.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
9994
#14
19.10.3
17.918.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
red by 6.5
9974
#25
12.61.8
6.27.9
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed