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Red72
999314.7
699642.8
472915.9
Blue76
712825.2
999524.7
914723.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78692040601001201407276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
72Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#13
42.80.2
44.944.7
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 17.6
7128
#17
25.20.8
20.621.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Second
4729
#15
15.90.2
16.215.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
blue by 8.8
24.71.2
22.824.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
9993
#23
14.70.3
14.414.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
blue by 8.6
23.30.8
20.321.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned